Liberia: Elections and Beyond

Published January 11, 2012
By Joelle Burbank, Nate Haken, Erin Crandell, Julie Andrus
Publication CULRR1202
Report available in PDF and Flash formats

Incumbent president and recent Nobel laureate Ellen Johnson Sirleaf was declared the winner of the runoff election held on November 8th, 2011. After asserting that the October 8th election was not as fair as the United Nations and other international bodies declared it to be, opposition leader Winston Tubman and his supporters boycotted the run-off election, resulting in a turnout that was only about 37% of the voting age population, and almost half of the turnout in the October 8th election.

This is the second election held in Liberia after years of civil war, and this is the first to be overseen by an independent Liberian election board. While international observers declared the election to be free and fair, there were multiple reports gathered during the June to November period of intimidation of political opponents, election irregularities and government corruption. In this atmosphere, the boycott further undermines the perceived legitimacy of the government in the eyes of the local population.

Roundtable on Conflict-Free Gold

Published December 6, 2011
By Sonia Hausen
Publication S3BCR1130
Report available in PDF and Flash formats

On the 7th of September 2011, members of civil society, government, and the private sector convened in New York City to discuss the World Gold Council’s (WGC) draft Conflict-Free Gold Standards. The day-long Roundtable was facilitated by the independent, nonpartisan, and nonprofit organization, The Fund for Peace. WGC, the initiator of the meeting, sought feedback and guidance to ensure the Standard does what it intends and addresses what matters to all relevant stakeholders in order to build consensus and support within a broader global context. Experts assembled to share perspectives, make further recommendations, discuss efficacy and practical implementation, and jointly recognize the challenges facing companies operating in complex and sensitive environments. The following is an overview of the various discussion topics, opinions, and advice brought to light by participants during the session. The session was held under the Chatham House Rule.

Profile: Bangladesh

Published December 12, 2011
By Kristen Blandford and Raphaël Jaeger
Country Profile CCPPR11BD
Report available in PDF and Flash formats

Political instability, natural disasters, lack of necessary resources, international dependence, and poor economic policies are key factors preventing Bangladesh from realizing its economic potential. Corruption and impunity among the police and civil services inspire fear and instability throughout the country. Although such pressures are still apparent and present, the country is attempting to reduce their effects with a focus on more educational services and economic reforms. The consolidation of the democratically elected government for another year is a positive development for the country’s stability. Political factionalization seems to be a pressure that will not dissipate quickly, but the government’s recent efforts and the international community’s support will hopefully keep the country on its gradual incline towards social, economic, and political improvement.

For Reconstruction, Put Libyans to Work

December 1, 2011
By J. J. Messner and Michael Shank
Roll Call

With the excitement about Moammar Gadhafi’s downfall beginning to fade, Libya’s new management has begun governing and reconstructing the war-torn nation.

Plenty of attention is being paid to the governance angle: Is the National Transitional Council a legitimate, representative body? When will elections be held? Is the new Libya going to be run by Islamists? Certainly these are important issues. Just as important, however, is the Libyan economy and how to get Libyans back to work.

The issue of employment is significant for a couple of reasons. First, though Gadhafi was a pariah who oppressed his people, these were not the only reasons Libyans eventually saw to his downfall. The Gadhafi regime had for decades deprived much of the population of economic opportunities, and the revolution was as much about economic disempowerment as it was about tyranny. Libya’s new leadership must recognize that it will be expected to deliver economic opportunities quickly.

VPSHR National-Level Implementation

Published November 10, 2011
By Krista Hendry and Diana Klein
Publication SVPSR1123
Report available in PDF and Flash formats

While the Voluntary Principles on Security & Human Rights have grown over the past ten years to include 7 governments, 18 companies, and 9 NGOs, there has been too little focus on national‐level implementation within the countries that have challenges related to security and human rights. At the same time, there has been little guidance, with the exception of a case study on Colombia, given to those in the countries on how they can encourage VPs adoption by host governments and extractive companies operating in the country.

The purpose of this document, which will be public, is to give guidance to those interested in initiating or supporting a national‐level process to implement the VPs. The document lays out basic elements for consideration based on existing national‐level processes. The Fund for Peace (FfP) and International Alert (IA) have joined in this effort as two of the participant NGOs in the international‐level dialogue of the VPs, with funding from the Government of Norway and support from the Government of the Republic of Colombia, two of the governments formally involved in the process. This guidance note has been informed by existing in‐country processes ‐ largely Colombia and Indonesia, as well as experience and insight gathered from participants at a workshop in Bogota in June 2010.

This guidance note should also not be viewed as overly prescriptive. As will be evident throughout this document, a national‐level process will invariably be different in each area. Every country will have its own unique set of actors, challenges and opportunities.

UNLocK Data Visualization

The UNLocK project is a participatory early warning initiative that The Fund for Peace is implementing in Uganda, Nigeria and Liberia, in collaboration with local partners, which include Liberia Democracy Watch (LDW) and the Institute of Human Rights and Humanitarian Law (IHRHL). Visualizing the UNLocK data on an interactive web map allows for multi-dimensional analysis of conflict risk factors as reported by civil society participants on the ground. Liberia’s Early Warning and Response Network, which uses Ushahidi as a platform, is one such example. Practitioners who work on issues relating to relief and development can search the data by indicator, time period, and location, to identify concerns and priorities of the network.

In-depth Content Analysis Assessments

The Failed States Index itself is just one of the many capabilities of The Fund for Peace’s content analysis framework and software. The framework and software have many other applications including specific risk assessment, and in-depth national-, regional- and provincial-level analysis.

To demonstrate the power of our content analysis tool, we have created a sample visualization of content analysis trends in Balochistan, Pakistan, for the two-year period from May 2009, including illustrative events and issues flagged by content anslyis behind the various spikes.

Somalia Tops the Failed States Index

June 20, 2011
By J. J. Messner
The Failed States Index

If the Failed States Index were a championship, then Somalia would be the undisputed four-time champion (or cellar-dweller, depending on how you look at it). In the seven years of the Failed States Index, Somalia has had the ignominious distinction of occupying the worst spot for the past four years straight. Despite having a relatively functional and pretty much autonomous ‘state’ in the north, Somaliland, the country as a whole still manages to score badly enough to make up for that glimmer of unrecognized hope. Worse still, the country is in no danger of losing its position anytime soon. A combination of widespread lawlessness, ineffective government, terrorism, insurgency, crime, abysmal development and a penchant for inconveniencing the rest of the world by taking their merchant vessels hostage has given Somalia a score that – much as they seem to try – neither Chad, Sudan, Zimbabwe nor the Democratic Republic of Congo can hope to match.

   

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