The Rwanda Crisis:
The Genesis of a Genocide

A speech delivered at Penn State University, Harrisburg
5 April 2001

by Ambassador Joyce E. Leader

Thank you Mr. Gilpin for your kind introduction. And thank you for inviting me to talk today on the subject of the Rwandan Crisis. This is a subject that is very dear to my heart. I was the Deputy Chief of Mission at the U.S. Embassy in Rwanda from 1991 to 1994, the three years just before the breakdown that resulted in what the world knows as the Rwandan genocide of 1994, when an estimated 800,000 Rwandans, mostly minority Tutsi, were ruthlessly slaughtered.

During those three years, we at the Embassy, USAID, and USIS were working very hard to promote peace and democracy in Rwanda. It was an exciting time. Our work supported Rwandan leaders, both in politics and in civil society, who wanted to see real change in their country. These leaders were making real progress toward developing a political system that could accommodate both of the country's major ethnic groups, the majority Hutu and the minority Tutsi. The elaboration of this system was key to resolving the war that was going on between the Government and a group of Tutsi who had invaded the country from Uganda in October 1990.

What I want to do today is to try to describe to you what was happening in Rwanda during the three years preceding the genocide to show that it was not simply a response to the downing of the President's airplane April 6, 1994. That was merely a trigger. Instead, it was something that happened in response to the efforts of well-intentioned Rwandans to bring about profound political and social change in their country. In my view, the scope and the intensity of the response -- namely genocide -- was a measure of how close these Rwandans were to succeeding in their efforts. The extremists leaders who did not want to see this revolution succeed chose an extreme method to reverse the tide and stop the progress toward a new society in which they would no longer hold a monopoly on power. They postulated that if they could rid the country of the Tutsi, whom they cast as "the enemy," they could then continue to call the shots and fashion a "democracy" to their own liking.

During my three years in the country, Rwanda was undergoing three profoundly revolutionary transitions. It was trying to change from single-party to multi-party rule, from dictatorship to democracy, and from war to peace. Let's look at each of these transitions in turn.

The President, Juvenal Habyarimana, a Hutu, seized power in 1973. He came to power on the heels of a pogrom by the Hutu against the Tutsi, a problem some say he created and then resolved to win support for his takeover. He created a single-party state, with the MRND party ubiquitous throughout the country. For about 15 years things went smoothly, except for an alleged coup attempt in 1980 that resulted in imprisonment of several persons who had been close to the President. In the late 1980's, the economic situation took a downturn. Commodity prices fell for Rwanda's chief international currency earners, namely, coffee and tea. In 1990, the French President Francois Mitterand encouraged African countries to turn to democracy in a speech at the annual Francophone Summit. Several months later, in July 1990, President Habyarimana announced his intention to reform Rwanda's political system and open up participation to multiple parties. A year later, in July 1991, he presented an amended constitution that made multiple parties legal. Within months four opposition parties had registered.

In October 1991, the President named a member of his MRND party to become Prime Minister and charged him with forming a multiparty government. This was easier said than done. The opposition parties were wary of a Prime Minister from the President's party and did not want to enter a government where it would be business as usual. They wanted to see fundamental change in the process and called for a National Conference at which decisions about a new system could be taken. When the Prime Minister finally formed a government at the end of December, just one other party was included, the opposition party with the smallest following.

The other three opposition parties responded with a protest march that galvanized 15,000 people, the largest demonstration Kigali, the capital, had ever seen. By the middle of March, this Government was thoroughly discredited. The President was forced to dissolve it and appoint a new Prime Minister, this time from the major opposition party, the MDR. A new government was formed in April and took as its mandate to make peace with the rebels, who had invaded the country in 1990, and to take the country to elections within one year. These two goals were, however, incompatible.

By April 1991, Rwanda had a multiparty government, headed by an opposition party Prime Minister, but it did not have a real democracy. Nearly all the power remained in the hands of the President's party, the MRND. The new multiparty government did manage to take some bold steps in the right direction. The Education Minister abolished quotas for schools, which had favored the majority Hutu over the Tutsi. She introduced exams that were to allocate places on merit. The Government also fired the head of the government media, who was using the sole radio station as a propaganda tool for the President's party. But the opposition did not have free reign to make all the changes it might have wanted, as the President's party controlled 10 of the 20 seats in the Government. It also controlled the state security apparatus, namely the military, the gendarmerie, and the intelligence services. Also, the territorial administration throughout the country was firmly in MRND hands.

Forming a backdrop to these efforts at multipartyism and democratization was the war between the Tutsi rebel group from Uganda, the RPF, and the Government army. For a long time after the rebel group's October 1990 invasion, the war remained a cross-border conflict. It seemed far away from Kigali even though the radio reported regularly on the border skirmishes. This changed a bit in June 1992, when, on the eve of talks in Paris with the new multiparty Government, the RPF pushed across the Ugandan border and, for the first time, held territory within Rwanda. The RPF might have been motivated in this attack by wanting to enhance its bargaining position on the eve of the Paris talks, but it claimed it was attacking in retaliation for the killing of some Tutsi during army mutinies a few weeks earlier. In February 1993, the RPF brought the war even closer to Kigali, within 20 miles to be exact. The RPF claimed this attack was in retaliation for massacres of Tutsi that had occurred in January, in the northwest of the country. This attack brought the peace talks, underway for several months, to an abrupt halt until a new cease-fire was worked out in March 1993, in which the RPF agreed to withdraw to its previous position as long as the territory it had taken would become a demilitarized buffer zone.

The opposition-led multiparty government succeeded in engaging the RPF in peace talks that began in July 1992 in the Tanzanian town of Arusha. The first agreement, or Protocol, was a cease-fire agreement that took effect August 1, 1992. The second Protocol, signed in August 1992, was a statement of democratic principles which the two sides agreed should form the fundamental basis for organizing the Government and society in Rwanda. From there the peace negotiations became more difficult. In September, the two sides tackled political power-sharing. By the end of October they had agreed on the augmentation of the powers of the Government at the expense of the Presidency, but they could not agree on the composition of the Government or the distribution of portfolios within it. The talks adjourned.

Throughout November and December the opposition parties and the MRND tried to find a formula that all could agree on for the composition of the Government and the distribution of portfolios. The fundamental question was how much power would be accorded to the President's MRND party. To control decision-making in the Broad Based Transitional Government or in the Transitional National Assembly, the MRND would need one third plus one in each body. But the opposition parties and the RPF did not want to see the MRND have that much power. When the talks resumed in Arusha in January, the Government side, led by the opposition party Foreign Minister, and the RPF agreed to a formula that gave the MRND just five seats in a 20-seat government and just 11 seats in a 70-seat national assembly. This agreement was an anathema to the MRND stalwarts. Used to controlling all power, they let it be known that they would never accept being relegated to a "permanent minority" position in the new institutions. Nevertheless, this agreement held and was included in the Arusha Accords signed August 4, 1993.

The other two Protocols that made up the Arusha Accords involved military power-sharing and the return of refugees. In the Protocol on the integration of the armies, the key agreement concerned the percentage of troops from each side that would make up the army and the gendarmerie, a kind of national police force. After much difficult negotiating, and following the RPF's attack of February 1993, the two sides agreed to a 60-40 split, with 60 percent of the troops coming from the Government side and 40 percent coming from the RPF, a much higher percent than the 15 percent the Tutsi represented in the society. Again, the MRND stalwarts considered this agreement an anathema. They had wanted to accord the RPF a maximum of one-third of the slots.

The refugee Protocol dealt with the conditions for return of refugees from Uganda, Burundi, and elsewhere and with the resettlement of displace persons - there were up to one million displaced persons inside Rwanda at the time this Protocol was signed in June 1993. The right of refugees to return, always a problem for the President because he maintained there was not enough land to settle them on, had been established in the August 1992 Protocol on the Rule of Law.

So, when the President signed the Arusha Accords on August 4, 1993, he was signing a comprehensive document that constituted a blueprint for a new Rwandan political, military and social order. In one document it brought together Rwanda's three transitions - from dictatorship to democracy, from single-party to multiparty government, and from war to peace. Nevertheless, it was a document that had several provisions that members of the President's MRND party categorically rejected. It also called unrealistically for an international peacekeeping force to be in place within about a month so that the transitional institutions could be established promptly.

The international force took three to four months to be put in place. During this time the political parties, that had each seemed so unified, fragmented. Places in the transitional government and national assembly had been allocated during the peace talks on the assumption that the parties would remain unified. However, this was not to be. The attack of the RPF in February 1993 and the assassination of the Hutu President of Burundi by Tutsi soldiers in October 1993, had made many Hutu members of the opposition political parties lose faith in negotiations with the RPF. These Hutu broke with the factions of the parties that still believed in collaborating with the RPF to form a new political tendency known as Hutu Power. As a result, the two key opposition parties, the MDR and the PL, were unable to present unified lists of candidates for the seats assigned their party by the peace accord in the Government and the National Assembly. By December 1993, when the international force was in place and able to support the formation of the transitional institutions, the parties were unable to agree on single slates of candidates for the institutions. This led to delay after delay in the establishment of the transitional institutions. Despite great pressure from the local diplomatic community and the UN Security Council, January, February, and March passed without the formation of the transitional institutions that would signal the beginning of the implementation of the peace accord.

Let me pause a minute to pick up another thread of my story. The human rights thread. Throughout this effort at democratization, multipartyism, and peace, the human rights situation in Rwanda was deplorable. It seemed that whenever there was progress in the democratization or the peace process, violence in the society increased. Massacres of Tutsi took place in October 1990, January 1991, March 1992, August 1992, January 1993, and February 1994. In the latter three instances, Hutu opposition political party members were targeted as well. In each case about 300 persons were killed and thousands were displaced from their homes. The internal Tutsi were periodically subjected to harassment for their suspected support of the RPF. After the RPF invaded from Uganda in 1990, up to 8,000 Tutsi were rounded up and jailed as suspected "accomplices" of the RPF. Intra-party violence on the part of party youth groups, such as the Interahamwe, flared up around public meetings and demonstrations. Random violence became a frightening tactic. Bombs exploded in taxis. Land-mines were detonated by vehicles running over them on roads. Grenades were used both by terrorists and bandits. Assassinations by unknown assailants became almost commonplace. A new private radio station came on the air in August 1993 that stirred up hatred between the two ethnic groups. No one was ever convicted of these abuses. Seldom were there ever even any arrests. There was no accountability for this violence that exacerbated Hutu-Tutsi enmity.

Another thread of the story was the story of the displaced Rwandans. When the RPF first attacked from Uganda, and as the fighting at the border ensued, 150,000 persons were displaced from their homes. Most were living in camps in the north and northeast of the country in rudimentary shelters made of branches with plastic sheeting over them. They were dependent upon humanitarian organizations for their food. After the RPF's June 1992 attack, when it first held territory within Rwanda, another 150,000 persons were displaced, bringing the total to 300,000. When the RPF broke the cease-fire and attacked again in January 1993, pushing the war front toward Kigali, it pushed 600,000 persons toward Kigali in front of it, bringing the total displaced to about one million persons. Thousands of persons ended up living on two hillsides just outside Kigali. Only gradually did they return to their homes in the demilitarized zone after the Arusha Peace Accords were signed.

By the beginning of April 1994, Kigali was tense because the Arusha Accords had yet to be implemented, there had been a February assassination of two political leaders followed by massacres in Kigali itself, and it was common knowledge that weapons were being distributed by the military to civilians. Also, the private radio had stepped up its attacks on the international forces, particularly the Belgian peacekeepers. It was in this atmosphere that President Habyarimana's plane was shot down on its return from a meeting in Tanzania at which he had pledged to push ahead with the implementation of the Arusha Accords. Within hours, militia members were going house to house killing Tutsi and soldiers were seeking out and killing Hutu moderates, including the Prime Minister, a woman who was my neighbor. Within a day or two it was clear that the RPF was going to bring its forces into the city to try to stop the killing; the war would resume.

The United States Ambassador, in collaboration with Department of State in Washington, decided that all Americans should evacuate Rwanda. Four days later, the last of our four convoys left by road south to Bujumbura, the capital of Burundi. We got out safely, before the killing and fighting spread to the south of the Kigali. Within three months, upwards of 800,000 Rwandans were brutally killed. By the beginning of July, the RPF had captured the capital Kigali. By the end of July, the RPF had routed the remnants of the Hutu Government. Soldiers, militia members who had been key to the killing of so many Tutsi and the Government fled to neighboring Zaire or Tanzania. They took thousands upon thousands of civilians with them.

Having routed the Hutu Government, the minority Tutsi set up a Government that continues to rule the country today. In 1996, most of the civilians returned from exile. But the ex-Government troops and the Interahamwe militia remained in Zaire from where they destabilized Rwanda with attacks in the border areas of the northwest. This presence of "genocidaire" on the border in Zaire, now the Democratic Republic of the Congo, has been the primary reason for Rwanda's two invasions of Zaire, one that toppled long-term ruler Mobutu Sese Seko, and one that continues today, which has half the Congo in rebel hands.

What was the United States policy during this difficult three-year period prior to the genocide? The Embassy, USAID, and the United States Information Service (USIS) were working hard to promote democracy, foster peace, and respond to the ever more serious humanitarian crisis in the country. The Ambassador was deeply involved with the leaders of the political parties, serving as a sounding board for their ideas, making suggestions about how to progress when obstacles blocked the way, and offering advice when asked. I was working with civil society groups to encourage the dissemination of information about political, civil and human rights in a democracy. Our Public Affairs Officer was engaged with the media, offering several seminars to both government and independent journalists on the concept of responsible journalism. USAID developed a five-year, five million dollar democracy project that was designed to support the legislature, the media, and decentralization.

To support the peace process, several high-level State Department officials visited Rwanda. In May 1992, just after the opposition-led multiparty government took over, Assistant Secretary of State Herman Cohen visited Kigali to talk with key political and military leaders. His talks with the opposition political leaders convinced them that rapprochement with the RPF might be possible and resulted in the contact between the government and the RPF that led directly to the peace talks. During the peace talks, the United States had an Observer on hand nearly all the time who was available for consultations with the two sides and with the Tanzanian facilitator of the talks. When the peace process stalled in early 1994, several more visitors arrived in Kigali from the State Department and the Defense Department to urge the President, the Government, and the RPF to resolve their differences and get on with implementing the peace accord.

USAID was responsive to the growing humanitarian situation in the country. We provided material assistance to the displaced in the form of plastic sheeting through the UN Development Program and food through the World Food Program.

Throughout this difficult period that was plagued with violence and human rights violations, the United States remained optimistic. We were convinced that if the President accepted the Arusha Accords, doubters in his party and the extremist CDR party would follow suit. We believed that the extremism, which we knew existed, would be contained within the democratic framework set forth in the peace accord. Neither the U.S. nor any other observers, including Rwandans themselves, anticipated the lengths to which the doubters would go to impress their will on the situation.

Additional Reading

Cohen, Herman J., "Rwanda: Could We have Prevented Genocide?" in Intervening in Africa, New York: St. Martin's Press, LLC., 2000.

Human Rights Watch, Leave None to Tell the Story: Genocide in Rwanda, Human Rights Watch: New York, March 1999.

Prunier, Gerard, The Rwanda Crisis: History of a Genocide, New York: Columbia University Press, 1995.

Web Sites

International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda

IRIN

OAU: "International Panel of Eminent Personalities to Investigate the 1994 Genocide in Rwanda and the Surrounding Events"

UN: "Report of the Independent Inquiry into the Actions of the United Nations During the 1994 Genocide in Rwanda, December 15m 1999"

Ambassador Joyce E. Leader is a Senior Fellow of The Fund for Peace.

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